An Integrated CVaR and Real Options Approach to Investments in the Energy Sector
نویسندگان
چکیده
The objective of this paper is to combine a real options framework with portfolio optimization techniques and to apply this new framework to investments in the electricity sector. In particular, a real options model is used to assess the adoption decision of particular technologies under uncertainty. These technologies are coal-fired power plants, biomassfired power plants and onshore wind mills, and they are representative of technologies based on fossil fuels, biomass and renewables, respectively. The return distributions resulting from this analysis are then used as an input to a portfolio optimization, where the measure of risk is the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR).
منابع مشابه
Computing optimal subsidies for Iranian renewable energy investments using real options
For the valuation of the renewable energy investments, providing private investors with a financial incentive to accelerate their investment is a very significant issue. Financial subsidies are known by the majority of the people to be one of the most important drivers in renewable energy expansion and one of the main reasons which result in the development of any industry. In this paper, we pr...
متن کاملCombination of real options and game-theoretic approach in investment analysis
Investments in technology create a large amount of capital investments by major companies. Assessing such investment projects is identified as critical to the efficient assignment of resources. Viewing investment projects as real options, this paper expands a method for assessing technology investment decisions in the linkage existence of uncertainty and competition. It combines the game-theore...
متن کاملEconomic Appraisal of Solar Energy Projects under Uncertainty using a Fuzzy Real OptionApproach(Case Study: A 2MW Photovoltaic Plant in the South of Isfahan)
Investment in renewable energies especially solar energies encounters numerous uncertainties considering the increased dynamism in economic and financial conditions. It is thus important to use modern methods of economic appraisal for such investments. Our study provides a framework for use of the real option theory for economic appraisal of a 2MW photovoltaic plant in Isfahan province (as a ca...
متن کاملComparing supply side and demand side options for electrifying a local area using life cycle analysis of energy technologies and demand side programs
The main aim of this paper is to select the best portfolio of renewable energy technologies (RETs) for electrifying an elected area which is not connected to any other grids. Minimizing total costs of the system is considered as the main factor in finding the best decision. In order to make the optimum plan more applicable, the technique of life cycle analysis is applied. This technique takes i...
متن کاملEconomic Appraisal of Investment Projects in Solar Energy under Uncertainty via Fuzzy Real Option Approach (Case Study: a 2-MW Photovoltaic Plant in South of Isfahan, Iran)
Investment in renewable energies especially solar energies is encountered with numerous uncertainties considering the increased dynamism in economic and financial conditions and makes investment in this field irreversible to a large extent, paying attention to modern methods of economic appraisal of such investments is highly important. A framework is provided in the current study in order to e...
متن کامل